Uploaded on Oct 22, 2022
Pritam Deuskar is a SEBI registered research analyst. Pritam has worked in stock markets research and business analysis for last many years. He had earlier worked with reputed portfolio management companies , pms houses. His views, interviews and articles have been published in all leading financial newspapers and tv channels like CNBC, CNBC Bazaar, Moneycontrol, Economic Times, Business Standard and so on. Pritam Deuskar is known for small and mid cap multibagger companies and finding them at very early stage had been his fortay. He has worked with HNI and Institutional clients.
Pritam Deuskar Wealthyvia - Practical lessons for investors
1. one should trade cyclical stocks only when one
understands the start and end of cycles. Cyclical stocks peak
in their prices not when their earnings peak out when
expectations of earnings peak out.
Understand how long the cycle usually lasts. According to
Wealthyvia founder Pritam Deuskar When things start
slightly positive cyclical stocks trade at high multiples of 40-
50-60 Price to earn as earnings turn negative to slightly
positive. When earnings growth comes up , stock prices
increase with price to earnings dropping due to eps rise. This
is exactly opposite in cyclical stocks than non cyclical regular
ones
2. According to Pritam Deuskar Wealthyvia, MNC consumption and
manufacturing companies command a premium and look as a safe
zone when markets are in an uncertain phase. Mnc companies can
raise capital at low rate debt in their western countries or from parent
companies capital. Most of them have 75% promoters holding with
hefty dividend payouts. They are usually technologically advanced.
3. A financial mess can be deeper and trickier than a manufacturing or
product based company's mess. In finance companies, troubles are
unknown , leveraged and also have a ripple effect on other good
assets. Companies in finance if in trouble have to sell good assets too
to cover up. Profit growth may not translate to an increase of ROE.
Price to book rerating is more difficult than analysts reports. Ability to
raise funds in crisis is the only differentiation factor for management
of a finance company or bank. If you want learn about how to create
financial plan then visit wealthyvia site or connect with Pritam
Deuskar he will give you right advice.
4. Quality , reputation of management and quality of earnings provide
better margin of safety than cheaper valuations. Cheaper valuations
are for a reason.
5.Market is smarter than all of us put together. if stock trades at 30-
40 PE , 50-60 PE there are reasons for it. predictability , longevity
and quality with high growth commands premium and price
anchoring.
6. If the approach is not well defined, strategy is not rolled out
clearly then random bets are bound to suffer. Usually such bets
come from very popular hot stocks talk of markets, social media etc
or they come from extra enthu networking people
7. Stock becoming cheaper and cheaper is not a right criteria to buy
it , single digit price is not at all a compelling reason to buy. If you
ask me, if it has assets, not so bad earnings and it's in the 10s or 20s
of price , how much it can fall then the answer is Zero. sentiments
and happenings to conduct in future , perception towards them
plays a big role in price move.
8. turn arounds do not often turn . stocks that have fallen from a
ratio of 5 to 1 will not change their longer term direction
bouncing to 1.3 or 1.4 from 1. Many stocks make such rallies in
between but are not able to sustain them when they have fallen
from very high. Many turnaround private equities have low
returns worldwide.
9. no situation lasts. At one point people were picking mid caps
and small caps , now finding large caps as holy grail. this won't
last all the time too. Time changes so do the momentums. Ability
to hold good stocks for long , buying them on correction ,
digesting their falls only will produce durable substantial returns.
No stocks or portfolio in the world have been invincible . Most
revered veteran investors had witnessed 40-50% drawdowns in
their holding value in their stock market investment career.
Conviction and stomach will only make sizable investment and
returns.
10. By simply avoiding what you don't understand , stocks
having pledges, low margins or cyclical margins , low promoter
holdings and investing in better roce , better visibility
companies one can do very well passively.
11. Change of management : particularly a new large reputed
group coming to board with old managers gone is truly
important and potentially rewarding change. This can truly
change the course of business direction for a company.
Lessons have a long way to go. Market is the best teacher.
Want more information then visit Pritam Deuskar Wealthyvia
site.
Thanks
Pritam Deuskar of Wealthyvia.com
Comments