Uploaded on Apr 21, 2020
PPT on GLOBAL RECESSION DUE TO CORONAVIRUS.
GLOBAL RECESSION DUE TO CORONAVIRUS.
GLOBAL RECESSION DUE TO
CORONAVIRUS
INTRODUCTION
• Corona virus disease (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by
a new virus named as SARS-CoV-2.
• The disease causes respiratory illness with symptoms such as a
cough, fever, and in more severe cases, difficulty breathing.
• It spreads primarily through contact with an infected person when
they cough or sneeze.
COVID-19 STATUS IN THE WORLD
• Total COVID-19 cases in the world has reached to 2.4 million
with highest cases in USA(767190).
• Apart from USA , Spain, Italy, France and Germany has effected
very badly.
COVID-19 STATUS IN INDIA
• In India confirmed cases of COVID-19 has reached to 17487 with
around 14202 active cases.
• Total recovered cases has reached to 1359 with number of death
393.
GLOBAL RECESSION
• Covid-19 as it spread across China, global financial markets
reacted strongly.
• when the virus spread to Europe and the Middle East, stoking
fears of a global pandemic.
WHAT MARKETS ARE TELLING
• Global financial markets might seem to indicate that the world
economy is on a path to recession.
• Valuations of safe assets have spiked sharply, As a result,
mechanical models of recession risk have ticked higher.
COVID-19-INDUCED RECESSION
• Real recession:
– This is a CapEx boom cycle that turns to bust and derails the
expansion.
– It’s here that Covid-19 has the greatest chance to infect its
host.
COVID-19-INDUCED RECESSION
• Policy recession :
– Central banks leave policy rates too high relative to the
economy’s “neutral” rate.
– Federal Reserve has delivered a surprise cut of 50 basis
points.
– Outside of the monetary policy response, the G7 finance
ministers have also pledged fiscal support.
COVID-19-INDUCED RECESSION
• Financial crisis :
– Financial crisis risks are difficult to point to. Some
commentators point to the bubble in corporate credit, as seen
in significant issuance and tight spreads.
– It’s difficult to see Covid-19 contributing to financial
imbalances, but stress could arise from cash flow strains,
particular in small and medium enterprises (SMEs).
WHAT SHOULD LEADERS DO IN RELATION TO ECONOMIC RISKS?
• Don’t become dependent on projections.
• Focus on consumer confidence signals.
• Plan for the best and prepare for the worst trajectories.
• Begin to look past the crisis.
THANK YOU
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