Uploaded on Dec 14, 2021
PPT on Contrarian Investing.
Contrarian Investing
CONTRARIAN INVESTING WHAT IS A CONTRARIAN INVESTOR? A contrarian is an individual who acts in opposition to the majority. In terms of investing, a contrarian investor is someone who trades against prevailing market sentiments. When the market buys, the contrarian sells, and vice-versa. Source: corporatefinanceinstitute.com CONTRARIAN STRATEGY An Equity Research Analyst can use a contrarian strategy to look for assets that have a bearish prevailing market sentiment, and use Business Valuation Methods and Financial Modeling to evaluate if the stock is undervalued. Source: corporatefinanceinstitute.com RATIONALE BEHIND CONTRARIAN INVESTING • When you hear a particular company's share is doing really well you then want to buy it. Similarly, any negative news may discourage investors to sell the stocks in a panic. A contrarian investor believes that many investors unnecessarily panic and overreact to the news. Source: www.kotaksecurities.com CHARACTERISTICS OF CONTRARIAN INVESTING RECESSIONS CAN BE A GOOD TIME TO INVEST Being able to identify the behavioral bias of others, and avoiding falling into the same fallacies yourself, is key to sound value investing. Source: corporatefinanceinstitute.com LONG-TERM INVESTMENT HORIZON If all positions are analyzed with the long-term in mind, volatility and short-term market swings are almost negligible, as the time horizon extends far past the short-term. Hence a longer-term investment horizon can be beneficial for contrarian investors. Source: corporatefinanceinstitute.com CHOOSE COMPANIES WITH STRONG FINANCIAL FUNDAMENTALS The intrinsic value of a company is often masked by market swings and negative press. However, a company with strong fundamentals will usually prevail against temporary market sentiments and its stock price will inherently reflect that in the long-term. Source: corporatefinanceinstitute.com FAMOUS CONTRARIAN INVESTORS • Warren Buffett – American investor, philanthropist, and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway (read why Warren Buffett dislikes EBITDA) • Jim Rogers – American investor, chairman of Rogers Holdings and Beeland Interests Inc., and co-founder of Quantum Group of Funds with George Soros Source: corporatefinanceinstitute.com BENEFITS OF CONTRARIAN INVESTING • Timing is very important in such investments. If the transaction is carried out at the right time, contrarian investing helps an investor gain high returns. Source: corporatefinanceinstitute.com ADVANTAGES OF A CONTRARIAN INVESTING • Buying stocks when they're out of favor creates a considerable margin of safety relative to the stocks' intrinsic values, theoretically reducing downside risk. • Your portfolio is more likely to outperform the market on a long-term basis as a contrarian investor. Source: www.fool.com DISADVANTAGES OF A CONTRARIAN INVESTING • It's psychologically challenging to remain committed to an investment in the face of overwhelmingly negative sentiment about the investment. • Contrarian investing requires creative thinking, market expertise, time devoted to conducting research, and the prioritization of long-term outlooks. Source: www.fool.com
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