Uploaded on May 13, 2020
PPT on Impact on Financial markets due to Coronavirus.
Impact on Financial markets due to Coronavirus.
Impact on Financial markets due
to Coronavirus
Freefall
The financial markets have been under much
pressure, volatility and uncertainty since COVID-
19. At the end of February 2020, the global
equity markets were in a freefall. Referencing
financial data, current and historical, the pace
that COVID-19 is spreading is much faster than
prior epidemics (SARS, swine flu) in a limited
time frame.
Fall in demand
The effect of imports to China have directly
affected the export economy of countries around
the world. This has an immediate effect within oil,
LNG, agricultural goods and metals. In oil,
demand from China, the largest net importer of
crude oil, took away nearly ten percent of global
demand in January.
Source: Google Images
Global slowdown
In just weeks, the Coronavirus pandemic has
shaved off nearly a third of the global market
cap. The Indian equity market bounced back
valiantly, but the Sensex still closed 20% below
the peak achieved two months ago. Investors
can get some cold comfort that other markets
have fallen more.
Source: Google Images
Impact in Asia
The deepest cut to the Asian regional economies
remains with China. Japan continues to find solid
footing and this outbreak has pushed it off
course. For what it’s worth, Japan continues to
fall upon unfortunate timing, as it was looking for
a boost from the 2020 Olympics. South Korea’s
increase in cases poses another threat to the
once strong oil and natural gas market.
Source: Google Images
Crude oil war
Making things worse is the crude oil war between
Saudi Arabia and Russia, which has injected
volatility into other assets. Earlier, only the
equity and debt markets were impacted by the
Covid-19 scare; now the commodities and
currency market are in turmoil due to the crude
oil war. America’s WTI crude index prices went
negative for the first time in history.
Source: Google Images
Huge impact
Impact of this on global economic growth is
going to be huge. The Organization for
Economic Co-operation and Development
(OECD) has halved the global gross domestic
product (GDP) growth projection for 2020 due to
Coronavirus. The disease will obviously impact
the Indian economy as well
Source: Google Images
Impact in India
The domestic consumption slowdown, triggered
by the failure of large financial institutions such
as IL&FS and DHFL, is still lingering. Now we
have another situation in the form of the Yes
Bank crisis. Though only time will tell how the
Yes Bank fiasco will shape up, the revival
package for the bank is a good short-term step.
Source: Google Images
Gold is unstoppable
While other commodities are down, gold has
gone up because of the demand for a safe haven
in uncertainty. The hope of rate cuts by global
central bankers is also keeping gold demand
intact. Though initial target for gold was $1,700,
it can go up to $1,800 if Covid-19 is not
contained soon and central bankers are forced to
come out with more rate cuts
Source: Google Images
Falling markets, rising
volatility
The Dow and S&P 500 have both been seeing
drops due to uncertainty around the global
coronavirus pandemic since the middle of
February as the virus began to spread around the
world. The coronavirus has created such
uncertainty around the world that two of the
largest single day drops in the Dow Jones
Industrial Average have been from March of 2020.
Source: Google Images
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