Uploaded on Jan 4, 2023
With so many similar-sounding words being used in the world of economics, it is easy to understand why sometimes people get confused between two terms, such as deflation and disinflation.
6 Disinflation Examples in History
6 Disinflation Examples
in History
The economic change is subject to
many factors such as shortage of
specific goods, strikes by the
workforce, or companies being
unable to meet the demand. All the
factors, depending on their intensity,
contribute to significant or marginal
economic changes. Additionally,
policies created by the authorities
are also a governing factor when it
comes to economic change.
Inflation and deflation of an
economy are also observed
because of these factors; however,
disinflation can also occur as a
result.
What is Disinflation?
With so many similar-sounding words being used in the world of economics, it is easy to
understand why sometimes people get confused between two terms, such as deflation and
disinflation. Fortunately, it is easy to understand the difference between these two. In
deflation, a gradual or abrupt decrease in the general price of goods and services is observed.
However, in disinflation, the price of goods and services is not dropped, instead, the rate by
which the general prices of goods and services are increased slows down. Simply, the slowing
of inflation is called disinflation. There are two primary causes of disinflation: money supply
and the business cycle. In the former, the supply of money is restricted within an economy,
whether it be because of tight monetary policies or other factors. For instance, making it
difficult to access money can result in a significant drop in demand, consequently causing
disinflation. The second reason is the business cycle during a recession. Unsurprisingly,
people significantly buy less in such times, causing companies to become intensely
competitive, as they can no longer charge high prices. Interestingly, the interest rates during
the period of disinflation are dropped as well, meaning people who have their money saved in
banks, will receive a minuscule interest back.
Disinflation Examples in History
1. India
The economy of India has been facing steady inflation since 2000. From 2000 to
2004, the average consumer price index was 4 percent, as this was the time when
industries were advancing in the country. As time progressed, the CPI only kept
rising. According to the statistics, the CPI averaged 9 percent from 2006 to 2013.
Although inflation was increasing, it was expected, and economists were looking
forward to another increase of at least 5 percent in the CPI. However, the CPI peaked
at 12 percent by the end of 2013 with only a 3 percent increase in inflation, followed
by a massive collapse of the CPI level to 4.3 percent in 2014. This disinflation from 5
percent to 3 percent was a shocking trend for economists in India. One of the reasons
economists believe behind this disinflation was the hoarding of physical assets during
the peak of inflation. People were holding onto assets like gold, and not using it,
causing a slowed inflation. Another major factor that contributed to this disinflation
was the collapse of global oil prices from 2014 to 2015.
2. The United States
The United States has experienced its fair share of economic ups and downs, from the
roaring twenties, an era of prosperity to the great recession of 2008 with collapsed
banking and housing system. As for disinflation, the longest disinflation in the history of
the US was from 1980 to 2015. Interestingly, both the 80s recession and the great
recession were within this period. Following the Second World War, the US was
experiencing inflation, and from the 1970s, inflation was massive, also known as the
great inflation with an increase in prices by 110 percent. However, by the end of the
1970s, the disinflation occurred, as the prices only rose by 59 percent in 1980, and by the
end of the 1990s, prices were increasing by 32 percent. Finally, the prices rose
marginally by 27 percent and 9 percent from the early 2000s until 2015. Economists state
that this prolonged disinflation occurred because of aggressive monetary policies.
3. The United Kingdom
Similar to the United States, the United Kingdom is considered one of the leading
economies in the world; however, it also had its fair share of troubling times. As for
the disinflation rate, the United Kingdom faced a concerning percentage amidst
the coronavirus pandemic. The inflation rate of the United Kingdom fell from 1.5
percent in March 2019 to 1 percent in April 2019, and finally, the growth slowed to
a sluggish pace of 0.8 percent in January 2020. Unlike other nations that
implement aggressive monetary policies to induce disinflation, the government of
the United Kingdom is struggling to increase its inflation rates. Another disinflation
occurred in the United Kingdom from 2013 to 2016, as the inflation rates fell from
5 percent to 4 percent, then, to 1 percent.
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