Uploaded on Jan 9, 2026
Equity returns are increasingly driven by a small set of winners, as shown by Bessembinder’s research. Rising concentration rewards long-term ownership, challenges stock selection, and explains passive success—an insight aligned with Ajay Srinivasan Aditya Birla Capital–style long-term thinking.
Return Concentration Reality
Return Concentration
Reality
The 4% Rule of Wealth
Hendrik Bessembinder in a paper C"Dor Setocaks Otuitopernform Treasury Bills?" (Journal of
Financial Economics, 2018) found that across almost 100 years, ~4% of listed stocks
accounted for all the net wealth created by the U.S. stock market.
Pre-GFC vs. Post-2009: A Shift in
Concentration
Before the
TGhFoCugh concentration has always existed in equity In the US, 50–70 stocks explained ~80%
markets, returns in the 20 years pre-GFC were of returns pre-GFC.
meaningfully less concentrated than returns since
2009.
India's Concentration
ISn Intdoia, rthye contrast is even sharper.
Pre-2008 Post-2009
Leadership rotated between PSUs, cyclicals and 12–15 stocks explain ~80% of returns for the NIFTY
exporters. 50.
Widen the lens to the NIFTY 500 and still
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