In a world that is going digital, cash is still king - AGS India
Inaworldthatisgoingdigital,cashisstillking- AGSIndia Even though digital payments are on the rise, cash continues to hold its throne.Inaneconomylikeours,wearelikelytocontinuewitnessingthecoexistenceofboth cash & digital payments. The Indian economy has been in a constant stateof evolution. From using precious metals, cowrie shells, and currency notes tonowintangiblepaymentmodessuchascards,BHIMUPI,QRcodes,andRFID – thepaymentlandscapeisevolvingatarapidpace.However,onemodethathasstoodthetest oftimeiscash. WhileIndiahaspredominantlybeenacash-intensiveeconomy,twoeventsmayhave challenged the status quo – Demonetisation & Covid-19. They broughtabout a change in people’s payment habits. Before demonetisation, digitalpayments were very nascent in India. In just a matter of few years, digitalpayments have gained extraordinary growth, with the volume of transactionsincreasingataCAGRof36%. Interestingly,cashincirculationisalsonowabout14.5%ofGDP.Accordingtothe data released by RBI, ahead of Diwali, the currency with public rose by Rs15,582crore.Onayear-on- yearbasis,ithasincreasedbyRs2.21lakhcrore. Thisisanindicatorthatdespitetherisingdemandfordigitaltransactions,cashhasstillseena nupwardcurve. Let us look at various reasons for this increase: 65.07%ofIndiansstillresideinruralareas Indiaisacountrywithawidecustomerbasecomingfromurban,semi- urban,andruralareas.Interestingly,theruralpopulationconstitutesover65%ofthe total population of India. While the penetration of digital payments is deep inmetro cities and semi-urban areas, the rural counterparts continue to transact incash;forwhichtheyrelyontraditionalchannelssuchasthebankbranchesandATMs. Newer services such as micro ATMs or Cash@PoS are playing animportantroleinmeetingruralIndia’scashneeds. AsIndiaisanagrarianeconomy,itisobservedthatcashwithdrawalsincreaseduringthecrop harvestseason,whichisusuallybetweenMarchandApril. DirectBenefitTransfer(DBT) The value of fund transfers by the means of Direct Benefit Transfer increasedfrom ₹619.4 billion during financial year 2016 to ₹5,525.2 billion duringfinancial year 2021. These schemes enable beneficiaries to receive benefitsdirectly into their accounts. This amount can only be withdrawn using AePS orATMs,therebyincreasingthemoneysupplyinthecountry.Moreover,thereare 43.90 crore beneficiaries of the PMJDY (Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana).Theseinitiativeswillresultinincreasedcurrencywiththepublicasmorepeoplewil lcomeunderthesegmentof‘bankedpopulation’. The pandemicpush During the lockdown, many people withdrew large amount of cash as apreventivemeasureandtoavoidfrequentvisitstotheATMowingtorestrictionsduring nationwide lockdown. In fact, the average ticket size of withdrawals atany given time went up by almost 20 per cent. While digital acceptance wasgaining momentum, there were many merchants who were not equipped to go‘digital’ completely. This could be because of factors like cost ofimplementation and lack of awareness among merchants – especially small shopowners & vendors. Hence, customers had continued to make payments in cashfortheirday-to-dayessentials. Additionally,itwasobservedthatmanyretailersbeganofferingCash@PoSservicestocaterto theincreasingcashneedsoftheircustomers. Unbanked population There are about 15 crore Indians who still do not have a bank account.Moreover,manyIndiansaredailywageearners– earningtheirlivelihoodbythemeansofcash.Alltheirday-to- daytransactionstakeplacebythemeansofcash. Regulatory policies Recently,theMinisterofStateforFinanceBhagwatKaradsaidthatoutofthe 2.13 lakh ATMs in the country, 47% are in rural and semi-urban areas.Moreover, the RBI has apprised all White Label ATM operators to deployminimum1000ATMsayear.Suchamovewillcatertotheeverydaycashneedsofcit izensandcashwillcontinuebeingaprimarymodefortransacting. Growingcyber-securityconcerns Whiledigitaltransactionshavebeensurging,manyIndiansarestillscepticalaboutmakingla rgevaluetransactionsonline.Thisisduetotherising cyber-attacksandfraudsthatdigitalpaymentmodesareexposedto.Asopposedto digital payments, cash-based transactions involve only the payer and thereceiver; hence, many customers feel it is safer to pay in cash. In a latest reportby globally a leading financial technology player, 71% respondents stated thatthey are concerned about scams and fraud owing to the shift to digital methodsof payments due to Covid-19. Additionally, digital payment frauds account forabouthalfofallbankfraudcasesinIndia. Allthesefactorsestablishthateventhoughdigitalpaymentsareontherise,cashcontinuestohol ditsthrone.Inaneconomylikeours,wearelikelytocontinue witnessing the coexistence of both cash & digital payments. While theacceptanceofdigitalpaymentswillgrowatarapidpace,cashwillcontinuebeingthemos tpreferredmodeformostIndiansinthenearfutureaswell.
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