In a world that is going digital, cash is still king - AGS India
Inaworldthatisgoingdigital,cashisstillking-
AGSIndia
Even though digital payments are on the rise, cash continues to hold its
throne.Inaneconomylikeours,wearelikelytocontinuewitnessingthecoexistenceofboth
cash & digital payments. The Indian economy has been in a constant stateof
evolution. From using precious metals, cowrie shells, and currency notes
tonowintangiblepaymentmodessuchascards,BHIMUPI,QRcodes,andRFID
–
thepaymentlandscapeisevolvingatarapidpace.However,onemodethathasstoodthetest
oftimeiscash.
WhileIndiahaspredominantlybeenacash-intensiveeconomy,twoeventsmayhave
challenged the status quo – Demonetisation & Covid-19. They broughtabout a change in people’s payment
habits. Before demonetisation, digitalpayments were very nascent in India. In
just a matter of few years, digitalpayments have gained extraordinary growth,
with the volume of transactionsincreasingataCAGRof36%.
Interestingly,cashincirculationisalsonowabout14.5%ofGDP.Accordingtothe data released
by RBI, ahead of Diwali, the currency with public rose by Rs15,582crore.Onayear-on-
yearbasis,ithasincreasedbyRs2.21lakhcrore.
Thisisanindicatorthatdespitetherisingdemandfordigitaltransactions,cashhasstillseena
nupwardcurve.
Let us look at various reasons for this increase:
65.07%ofIndiansstillresideinruralareas
Indiaisacountrywithawidecustomerbasecomingfromurban,semi-
urban,andruralareas.Interestingly,theruralpopulationconstitutesover65%ofthe
total population of India. While the penetration of digital payments is deep
inmetro cities and semi-urban areas, the rural counterparts continue to transact
incash;forwhichtheyrelyontraditionalchannelssuchasthebankbranchesandATMs.
Newer services such as micro ATMs or Cash@PoS are playing
animportantroleinmeetingruralIndia’scashneeds.
AsIndiaisanagrarianeconomy,itisobservedthatcashwithdrawalsincreaseduringthecrop
harvestseason,whichisusuallybetweenMarchandApril.
DirectBenefitTransfer(DBT)
The value of fund transfers by the means of Direct Benefit Transfer
increasedfrom ₹619.4 billion during financial year 2016 to ₹5,525.2 billion
duringfinancial year 2021. These schemes enable beneficiaries to receive
benefitsdirectly into their accounts. This amount can only be withdrawn using
AePS orATMs,therebyincreasingthemoneysupplyinthecountry.Moreover,thereare
43.90 crore beneficiaries of the PMJDY (Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan
Yojana).Theseinitiativeswillresultinincreasedcurrencywiththepublicasmorepeoplewil
lcomeunderthesegmentof‘bankedpopulation’.
The pandemicpush
During the lockdown, many people withdrew large amount of cash as
apreventivemeasureandtoavoidfrequentvisitstotheATMowingtorestrictionsduring
nationwide lockdown. In fact, the average ticket size of withdrawals atany given time went up by almost 20
per cent. While digital acceptance wasgaining momentum, there were many
merchants who were not equipped to go‘digital’ completely. This could be
because of factors like cost ofimplementation and lack of awareness among
merchants – especially small shopowners & vendors. Hence, customers had continued to make payments in
cashfortheirday-to-dayessentials.
Additionally,itwasobservedthatmanyretailersbeganofferingCash@PoSservicestocaterto
theincreasingcashneedsoftheircustomers.
Unbanked population
There are about 15 crore Indians who still do not have a bank
account.Moreover,manyIndiansaredailywageearners–
earningtheirlivelihoodbythemeansofcash.Alltheirday-to-
daytransactionstakeplacebythemeansofcash.
Regulatory policies
Recently,theMinisterofStateforFinanceBhagwatKaradsaidthatoutofthe
2.13 lakh ATMs in the country, 47% are in rural and semi-urban
areas.Moreover, the RBI has apprised all White Label ATM operators to
deployminimum1000ATMsayear.Suchamovewillcatertotheeverydaycashneedsofcit
izensandcashwillcontinuebeingaprimarymodefortransacting.
Growingcyber-securityconcerns
Whiledigitaltransactionshavebeensurging,manyIndiansarestillscepticalaboutmakingla
rgevaluetransactionsonline.Thisisduetotherising
cyber-attacksandfraudsthatdigitalpaymentmodesareexposedto.Asopposedto digital
payments, cash-based transactions involve only the payer and thereceiver; hence, many customers feel it
is safer to pay in cash. In a latest reportby globally a leading financial
technology player, 71% respondents stated thatthey are concerned about scams
and fraud owing to the shift to digital methodsof payments due to Covid-19.
Additionally, digital payment frauds account
forabouthalfofallbankfraudcasesinIndia.
Allthesefactorsestablishthateventhoughdigitalpaymentsareontherise,cashcontinuestohol
ditsthrone.Inaneconomylikeours,wearelikelytocontinue
witnessing the coexistence of both cash & digital payments. While
theacceptanceofdigitalpaymentswillgrowatarapidpace,cashwillcontinuebeingthemos
tpreferredmodeformostIndiansinthenearfutureaswell.
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