SBICARD 3QFY26 RU Edited


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SBICARD 3QFY26 RU Edited

28 January 2026 3QFY26 Results Update | Sector: Financials SBI Cards Estimate change (down) CMP: INR785 TP: INR875 (+11%) Neutral TP change (down) In-line quarter; credit costs show signs of easing Rating change NIMs contract 20bp QoQ Bloomberg SBICARD IN  SBI Cards (SBICARD) reported a 3QFY26 PAT of INR5.6b (up 45% YoY/ 25% Equity Shares (m) 952 QoQ, in line). M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb) 883.9 / 10.1 52-Week Range (INR) 1027 / 660  NIMs contracted 20bp QoQ to 11%, as most of the benefit from the lower 1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%) 2/-6/25 cost of funds has already been realized, while yields carry a mild near-term 12M Avg Val (INR M) 1140 downside bias, which could keep margins under check.  Opex grew 23% YoY/5% QoQ (3% higher than MOFSLe), amid the labor code Financials & Valuations (INR b) impact of INR120m. Y/E MARCH FY25 FY26E FY27E  Credit cost stood at 8.3% (there was a write-back of INR1.21b, which was NII 58.9 68.3 76.3 OP 74.5 79.1 89.1 not realized in P&L; otherwise, this would have reduced credit costs by an NP 19.2 21.3 30.4 additional 50-60bp on a calculated basis). NIM (%) 11.0 11.8 11.9  Spends growth stood healthy at 33% YoY/7% QoQ, led by robust growth in EPS (INR) 20.1 22.4 32.0 corporate spends (up 329% YoY/30% QoQ). Retail spends rose 14% EPS Gr. (%) (20.6) 11.2 42.7 BV/Sh. (INR) 145 164 194 YoY/2.6% QoQ. The company expects corporate : retail spends to be at ABV/Sh. (INR) 139 159 188 20% : 80%. Ratios        GNPA ratio increased 1bp QoQ to 2.86%, while NNPA ratio declined 1bp RoA (%) 3.1 3.1 3.8 QoQ to 1.28%. ECL declined 6bp QoQ to 3.3%, while PCR rose 64bp QoQ to RoE (%) 14.8 14.5 17.9 Valuations       56.1%. P/E(X) 39.0 35.0 24.6  We reduce our earnings estimates by 4%/6.5% for FY26/FY27, considering P/BV (X) 5.4 4.8 4.1 a contraction in margins and a decline in receivables, while credit costs are P/ABV (X) 5.6 4.9 4.2 likely to witness a modest decline. We expect SBICARD to post an RoA/RoE of 3.85%/17.9% by FY27. Reiterate Neutral with a revised TP of Shareholding Pattern (%) As On INR875 (24x Sep’27E EPS).Sep-25 Jun-25 Sep-24 Promoter 68.6 68.6 68.6 Loan growth tepid; revolver mix to remain subdued DII 17.8 17.5 16.8  3Q PAT was up 45% YoY/up 25% QoQ at INR5.6b (in line), aided by in-line FII 10.1 10.2 9.2 Others 3.6 3.7 5.5 NII as well as in-line provisions. FII includes depository receipts  NII grew 11.5% YoY/1.2% QoQ to INR17.5b (in line). NIMs contracted 20bp QoQ at 11% and are expected to remain curtailed, led by a steady CoF and slight negative bias in yields.  The transactor mix stood stable at 44% (amid higher transactor volume), while revolve mix remained at 23% (management expects the revolve rate to remain under check). The EMI mix stood stable at 34%.  Other income grew 19% YoY/6.4% QoQ, and the bank witnessed a PIDF reversal of INR510m, while INR190m was adjusted against opex. C/I ratio, thus, stood flat QoQ at 56.8%.  CIF grew 8% YoY/1.4% QoQ to 21.8m. New card sourcing stood at 864k, although lower vs the aspiration of 0.9-1m. About 56% of the sourcing was from the open market in 3QFY26.  Spends witnessed strong growth of 33% YoY/7% QoQ, led by corporate spends (up 329% YoY/30% QoQ), while retail spends grew slower at 14% YoY/3% QoQ. Amid higher transactors, spends grew healthy while receivables declined 4%. Nitin Aggarwal - Research Analyst ([email protected]) Research Analyst: Dixit Sankharva ([email protected]) | Disha Singhal ([email protected]) Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report. 14 January 2020 1 Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital. SBI Cards  GNPA ratio increased 1bp QoQ to 2.86%, while NNPA ratio declined 1bp QoQ to 1.28%. ECL declined 6bp QoQ to 3.3%, while PCR rose 64bp QoQ to 56.1%. Highlights from the management commentary  The company witnessed a reversal of provisions of INR1.21b; however, the same has not been written back in P&L in 3QFY26.  C/I ratio is guided to remain within the 55–57% range, supported by higher spend levels in the current year. Next year, opex may rise moderately as the card base expands.  NIMs are influenced by two factors: 1) yields, which are witnessing a gradual decline due to a lower share of revolving balances, and 2) cost of funds, which is expected to remain stable in the absence of rate cuts.  Corporate spends accounted for 20% of total spends and are expected to maintain a similar mix going forward. Valuation and view SBICARD reported a mixed performance in 3Q, marked by lower provisions and an improving credit cost outlook, even as receivables declined due to a higher transactor mix. Credit costs stood at 8.3% (which would have been lower by ~50– 60bp had the INR1.21b write-back been realized in P&L), with the trajectory turning more favorable going forward. NIMs are expected to remain under pressure as yields carry a negative bias, while the cost of funds is likely to stay range-bound. Corporate spends, which supported growth during the quarter, are expected to be maintained at around 20% of the overall mix. Asset quality is anticipated to improve further, aided by lower forward flows and a supportive macro environment. We reduce our earnings estimates by 4%/6.5% for FY26/FY27, considering a contraction in margins and a decline in receivables, while credit costs are likely to witness a modest decline. We expect SBICARD to post an RoA/RoE of 3.85%/17.9% by FY27E. Reiterate Neutral with a revised TP of INR875 (24x Sep’27E EPS). Quarterly performance (INR b)   FY25 FY26E FY25 FY26E FY26E V/s our   1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3QA 4QE    3QE Est Net Interest Income 14.8 15.0 15.7 16.2 16.8 17.3 17.5 16.7 58.9 68.3 17.9 -2% % Change (Y-o-Y) 19.7 15.8 13.2 14.5 13.8 15.2 11.5 3.1 14.4 16.0 13.7  Other Income 22.4 22.7 23.7 24.2 25.4 26.5 28.2 28.6 95.7 108.7 27.2 4% Total Income 37.2 37.7 39.4 40.4 42.2 43.8 45.7 45.3 154.6 177.0 45.0 1% Operating Expenses 18.2 20.1 21.1 20.7 21.2 24.8 26.0 25.9 80.1 97.9 25.2 3% Operating Profit 19.0 17.6 18.3 19.6 21.0 18.9 19.7 19.4 74.5 79.1 19.9 -1% % Change (Y-o-Y) 25.4 13.3 13.0 7.2 10.5 7.7 7.7 -1.0 14.3 6.1 8.6  Provisions 11.0 12.1 13.1 12.5 13.5 12.9 12.2 11.7 48.7 50.4 12.6 -3% Profit before Tax 8.0 5.5 5.2 7.2 7.5 6.0 7.5 7.7 25.8 28.7 7.3 3% Tax 2.0 1.4 1.3 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.9 2.0 6.6 7.4 1.9 4% Net Profit 5.9 4.0 3.8 5.3 5.6 4.4 5.6 5.7 19.2 21.3 5.4 3% % Change (Y-o-Y) 0.2 -32.9 -30.2 -19.4 -6.5 10.0 45.2 7.4 -20.4 11.2 41.0  Operating Parameters                        Loan (INRb) 508.1 536.0 528.1 539.3 546.3 578.6 552.2 579.8 539.3 579.8 569.6   Loan Growth (%) 21.5 23.0 12.0 9.9 7.5 7.9 4.6 7.5 9.9 7.5 7.9   Borrowings (INRb) 408.7 432.2 439.1 449.5 461.8 492.3 462.2 484.1 449.5 484.1 468.5   Borrowing Growth (%) 24.0 26.8 15.5 12.7 13.0 13.9 5.3 7.7 12.7 7.7 7   Asset Quality                        Gross NPA (%) 3.1 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.8 3.1 2.7 3.1   Net NPA (%) 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.3   28 January 2026 2 SBI Cards PCR (%) 64.4 64.4 64.4 53.5 54.3 55.4 56.1 57.0 53.5 57.0 56.3   Source: Company, MOFSL Quarterly snapshot   FY25 FY26 Change (%) Profit and Loss (INR b) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q YoY QoQ Interest Income 22.4 22.9 24.0 24.2 24.9 24.9 25.4 6 2 Interest Expenses 7.7 7.9 8.3 8.0 8.1 7.6 7.9 -5 3 Net Interest Income 14.8 15.0 15.7 16.2 16.8 17.3 17.5 12 1 Other Income 22.4 22.7 23.7 24.2 25.4 26.5 28.2 19 6 Fee Income 19.3 19.6 20.2 20.9 21.9 22.7 23.7 17 4 Others 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.5 31 18 Total Income 37.2 37.7 39.4 40.4 42.2 43.8 45.7 16 4 Operating Expenses 18.2 20.1 21.1 20.7 21.2 24.8 26.0 23 5 Employee 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.8 21 17 Others 16.8 18.6 19.5 19.2 19.6 23.3 24.1 23 4 Operating Profits 19.0 17.6 18.3 19.6 21.0 18.9 19.7 8 4 Provisions 11.0 12.1 13.1 12.5 13.5 12.9 12.2 -7 -5 PBT 8.0 5.5 5.2 7.2 7.5 6.0 7.5 45 25 Taxes 2.0 1.4 1.3 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.9 43 24 PAT 5.9 4.0 3.8 5.3 5.6 4.4 5.6 45 25 Balance Sheet                   Loans 508.1 536.0 528.1 539.3 546.3 578.6 552.2 5 -5 Borrowings 408.7 432.2 439.1 449.5 461.8 492.3 462.2 5 -6 Receivable Mix (%)                   Transactor 38.0 40.0 40.0 41.0 40.0 44.0 44.0 400 0 Revolver 24.0 23.0 24.0 24.0 24.0 22.0 22.5 -150 50 EMI 38.0 37.0 36.0 35.0 36.0 34.0 33.5 -250 -50 Asset Quality (INR b)                   GNPA 16.1 18.2 17.7 17.2 17.4 17.1 16.4 -8 -4 NNPA 5.7 6.5 6.3 8.0 7.9 7.6 7.2 14 -5 Asset Quality Ratios (%) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q YoY (bp) QoQ (bp) GNPA 3.06 3.27 3.24 3.08 3.07 2.85 2.86 -38 1 NNPA 1.11 1.19 1.18 1.46 1.42 1.29 1.28 10 -1 PCR (Calc.) 64.4 64.4 64.4 53.5 54.3 55.4 56.1 -829 66 Credit Cost 8.7 9.0 9.9 9.2 9.9 8.9 8.9 -109 -9 ECL 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.3 3.3 -30 0 Business Ratios (%)                   Fees to Total Income 51.9 51.9 51.4 51.8 51.9 51.8 51.8 39 4 Cost to Income 48.9 53.4 53.5 51.4 50.3 56.8 56.8 334 9 Sourcing channel Mix (%)                   SBI 42.0 38.0 55.0 63.0 56.0 50.0 44.0 -1,100 -600 Open Market 58.0 62.0 45.0 37.0 44.0 50.0 56.0 1,100 600 Spend Mix (%)                   Corporate Spends 6.8 6.7 6.2 9.8 11.6 16.3 19.8 1,367 352 Retail Spends 93.2 93.3 93.8 90.2 88.4 83.7 80.2 -1,367 -352 Profitability Ratios (%)                   Yield on loans 16.8 16.4 16.5 17.0 17.0 16.5 16.3 -20 -20 Cost of borrowings 7.5 7.4 7.4 7.2 7.1 6.4 6.5 -90 10 Spreads 9.3 9.0 9.1 9.8 9.9 10.1 9.8 70 -30 Margins 10.9 10.6 10.6 11.2 11.2 11.2 11.0 40 -20 RoA 4.1 2.7 2.4 3.4 3.4 2.6 3.2 80 60 RoE 19.1 12.5 11.5 15.5 15.8 12.1 14.7 320 260 Other Details               Change (%) New accounts added (000) 904 904 1,175 1,109 873 936 864 -26 -8 O/S Cards (Mn) 19.2 19.6 20.2 20.8 21.2 21.5 21.8 8 1 Spends (INRb) 771.3 818.9 860.9 883.7 932.4 1,070.6 1,147.0 33 7 - Retail Spends (INRb) 718.8 764.0 807.9 797.1 824.0 896.1 919.6 14 3 - Corporate Spends (INRb) 52.5 55.0 53.0 86.6 108.4 174.5 227.4 329 30 -Spends market share (%) 15.9 15.8 15.6 15.6 16.6 16.8 17.7 210 90 28 January 2026 3 SBI Cards -O/S cards market share (%) 18.5 18.5 18.7 18.9 19.1 19.0 18.8 10 -20 Source: Company, MOFSL Highlights from the management commentary Opening Remarks  India continues to progress towards becoming the world’s third-largest economy, with GDP currently at USD4.18t.  Industry-wide credit card spends reached INR17.67t, while transaction volumes grew 26% YoY.  The company continues to enter strategic partnerships with leading brands; a recent partnership with Apple (iPhone 17) helped drive higher spends.  CIF increased 8% YoY, with sourcing split at 56% from open market and 44% via bancassurance.  SBICARD remains the second-largest player, with a 17.7% market share in spends and 18.8% CIF market share in 3QFY26.  Online transactions accounted for 62% of retail spends during the quarter, while corporate spends recorded strong growth.  UPI-linked credit card usage grew 20% QoQ across key metrics.  Operating expenses rose, primarily due to higher corporate spends.  A one-time expense of INR120m was recognized in line with the new labor code implementation.  A higher share of transactors impacted yields, which stood at 16.3% in 3QFY26.  CoF is expected to remain stable going forward.  Asset quality has improved over recent quarters, resulting in a healthier portfolio mix; gross credit cost declined to 8.3% from 9%.  Lower Stage 2 and Stage 3 assets led to improved slippages.  Capital adequacy remained strong at 24.4%. RoA improved 79bp YoY and 59bp QoQ to 3.2%, while RoE rose 322bp YoY and 262bp QoQ to 14.7%. Credit Cost and ECL  The company has seen reversal of provisions of INR1.21b; however, the same has not been written-back in P&L in 3QFY26.  Given the volatility in gross credit costs, management chose not to write back provisions to smooth earnings.  The ECL release was driven by the adoption of new data, which led to a decline in balances across Stage 1, 2, and 3, resulting in partial provision releases, while management overlays were maintained.  The company remains focused on reducing gross credit costs over the coming quarters, noting that credit costs had been as low as 6-7% in earlier years.  Collection efficiencies continue to improve, supported by increased collection intensity.  For UPI-linked credit cards, two additional entities (TSCs and PSCs) are involved and are required to receive their share of MDR. Opex and Other Income related  The company targets card acquisitions of 0.9-1.0m per quarter; while this elevates opex in the near term, it is viewed as a long-term investment. From 4Q 28 January 2026 4 SBI Cards onwards, management does not expect a sharp rise in corporate-related expenses.  C/I ratio is guided to remain within the 55–57% range, supported by higher spend levels in the current year. Next year, opex may rise moderately as the card base expands. NIMs, Cost and Yields  NIMs are influenced by two factors: 1) yields, which are witnessing a gradual decline due to a lower share of revolving balances, and 2) cost of funds, which is expected to remain stable in the absence of rate cuts.  With yields stabilizing, management expects CoF to stay largely unchanged going forward. Spends; Loans and Receivables  AUM growth is not viewed as a structural concern, as retail payment volumes and transaction counts continue to grow steadily. Spends growth of 15% trails transaction growth, indicating increased usage of credit cards for smaller-ticket transactions.  The company has tightened new customer acquisition to contain credit costs, leading to a marginal downward bias in revolving balances. Focus remains on installment-based assets, given the stickiness of revolvers. Growth will be pursued selectively where opportunities exist.  The third quarter exhibits seasonality; however, spend quality has improved and spends per card have increased.  SBICARD continues to see ample growth opportunities and plans to scale through new initiatives.  Management is targeting customer acquisitions of ~1m per quarter going forward.  While growth opportunities remain strong, the company will prioritize customer quality in expansion.  Category-wise, online spends such as travel and entertainment witnessed a notable uptick.  The company aims to add ~1m accounts per quarter, with bancassurance contributing 50–55% and the balance from open market sourcing. New co- branded partnerships have been launched to support customer acquisition.  Corporate spends accounted for 20% of total spends and are expected to maintain a similar mix going forward.  New customer vintages are showing a lower revolving mix, a trend expected to persist in coming quarters. While application volumes continue to rise, underwriting standards remain selective.  Asset growth is expected to trail spend growth next year, as customers increasingly act as transactors rather than revolvers. Others  The company had earlier contributed to the PIDF and subsequently received regulatory clarification that further payments were not required. Consequently, PIDF contributions made between June 2024 and June 2025 were reversed, 28 January 2026 5 SBI Cards totaling INR700m, of which INR510m was recognized under other income and INR190m was adjusted against opex.  Capital adequacy improved further, supported by profit accretion and a reduction in risk-weighted assets. 28 January 2026 6 SBI Cards Story in charts Exhibit 2: Mix of retail spending declined to 80% from 94% in Exhibit 1: Spends increased 33.2% YoY (up 7.1% QoQ) 3QFY25, as corporate spends picked up pace 40.7 Spends (INRb) YoY (%) Retail Spends (INRb) Corp Spends (INRb) 30.7 33.2 27.1 Retail Spends 9as3 a % o9f3 total 94 90 88 20.9 8778 8476 80 11.1 10.9 4.4 3.4 (11.1) Exhibit 3: O/S cards increased ~7.9% YoY to 21.8m Exhibit 4: Margins contracted to 11% in 3QFY26 No of Cards (No in Mn) YoY (%) YoA (%) CoF (%) NIM (%) 11.3 11.3 20.9 11.2 11.2 11.2 16.4 11.0 10.9 10.9 12.5 11.0 9.5 9.2 10.1 10.4 9.7 7.9 10.6 10.6 Exhibit 5: Revolver mix stood at 23% amid higher transactors Exhibit 6: New cards sourcing mix: SBI sourcing stood at 44% Transactor Revolver EMI Open Market SBI Sourcing 38 38 37 38 37 36 35 36 34 34 37 49 51 45 4456 58 5062 56 22 23 24 23 24 24 23 24 24 24 55 6351 49 5644 42 5038 44 38 38 39 38 40 40 41 40 44 44 Exhibit 7: Credit cost declined to 8.3%; ECL flat at 3.3% Exhibit 8: GNPA ratio increased 1bp; NNPA ratio decreased by 1bp QoQ; PCR increased to 56.1% Credit Cost (%) ECL (%) 3.6 3.6 3.6 GNPA (%) NNPA (%) PCR (%) 64.1 64.1 64.9 64.4 64.4 64.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 53.5 54.3 55.4 56.1 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 Source: MOFSL, Company Source: MOFSL, Company 28 January 2026 7 2QFY24 6.7 2QFY24 2QFY24 17.9 2QFY24 791.6 3QFY24 7.5 3QFY24 3QFY24 18.5 3QFY24 968.6 4QFY24 7.6 4QFY24 4QFY24 18.9 4QFY24 796.5 1QFY25 8.5 1QFY25 1QFY25 19.2 1QFY25 771.3 2QFY25 9.0 2QFY25 2QFY25 19.6 2QFY25 818.9 3QFY25 9.4 3QFY25 3QFY25 20.2 3QFY25 860.9 4QFY25 9.0 4QFY25 4QFY25 20.8 4QFY25 883.7 1QFY26 9.6 1QFY26 1QFY26 21.2 1QFY26 932.4 2QFY26 9.0 2QFY26 2QFY26 21.5 2QFY26 1,070.6 3QFY26 8.3 3QFY26 3QFY26 21.8 3QFY26 1,147.0 2.4 16.8 2QFY24 2QFY24 2QFY24 614.5 0.9 7.1 2QFY24 177.2 2.6 17.2 3QFY24 3QFY24 3QFY24 735.2 1.0 7.6 3QFY24 233.4 2.8 16.7 4QFY24 4QFY24 4QFY24 691.9 1.0 7.4 4QFY24 104.6 3.1 16.8 1QFY25 1QFY25 1QFY25 718.8 1.1 7.5 1QFY25 52.5 3.3 16.4 764.0 2QFY25 2QFY25 2QFY25 2QFY25 1.2 7.4 55.0 3.2 16.5 807.9 3QFY25 3QFY25 3QFY25 3QFY25 1.2 7.4 53.0 3.1 17.0 797.1 4QFY25 4QFY25 4QFY25 4QFY25 1.5 7.2 86.6 3.1 17.0 824.0 1QFY26 1QFY26 1QFY26 1QFY26 1.4 7.1 108.4 2.9 16.5 896.1 2QFY26 2QFY26 2QFY26 2QFY26 1.3 6.4 174.5 2.9 16.3 919.6 3QFY26 3QFY26 3QFY26 3QFY26 1.3 6.5 227.4 SBI Cards Valuation and view  SBICARD reported a mixed performance in 3Q, marked by lower provisions and an improving credit cost outlook, even as receivables declined due to a higher transactor mix.  Credit cost stood at 8.3% (which would have been lower by ~50–60bps had the INR1.21b write-back been realized in P&L), with the trajectory turning more favorable going forward.  NIMs are expected to remain under pressure as yields carry a negative bias, while the cost of funds is likely to stay range-bound. Corporate spends, which supported growth during the quarter, are expected to be maintained at around 20% of the overall mix.  Asset quality is anticipated to improve further, aided by lower forward flows and a supportive macro environment.  We reduce our earnings estimates by 4%/6.5% for FY26/FY27, considering a contraction in margins and a decline in receivable, while credit costs are likely to witness a modest decline. We expect SBICARD to post an RoA/RoE of 3.85%/17.9% by FY27E. Reiterate Neutral with a revised TP of INR875 (24x Sep’27E EPS). Exhibit 9: We reduce our earnings estimate by 4%/6.5%/1.8% for FY26E/27E/28E INR b Old Estimates   New Estimates   Change (%/bps)   FY26 FY27 FY28   FY26 FY27 FY28   FY26 FY27 FY28 Net Interest Income 70.0 80.4 94.0   68.3 76.3 90.2   -2.4 -5.1 -4.1 Other Income 106.9 125.3 147.0   108.7 125.7 147.5   1.7 0.3 0.3 Total Income 176.9 205.7 241.0   177.0 202.0 237.7   0.1 -1.8 -1.4 Operating Expenses 96.0 111.2 130.5   97.9 112.9 132.5   2.0 1.5 1.5 Operating Profits 80.9 94.5 110.5   79.1 89.1 105.2   -2.2 -5.7 -4.8 Provisions 51.1 50.8 57.3   50.4 48.3 52.9   -1.3 -5.0 -7.7 PBT 29.8 43.7 53.2   28.7 40.8 52.3   -3.9 -6.5 -1.8 Tax 7.7 11.1 13.6   7.4 10.4 13.3   -3.9 -6.5 -1.8 PAT 22.2 32.5 39.7   21.3 30.4 39.0   -3.9 -6.5 -1.8 Loans 594 681 795   580 664 775   -2.5 -2.5 -2.5 Margins (%) 11.9 12.2 12.3   11.8 11.9 12.1   -14 -33 -21 Credit Cost (%) 8.70 7.70 7.50   8.70 7.50 7.10   0 -20 -40 RoA (%) 3.17 4.07 4.28   3.06 3.85 4.25   -11 -23 -3 RoE (%) 15.0 18.9 19.3   14.5 17.9 19.3   -54 -102 -3 EPS 23 34 42   22 32 41   -3.9 -6.5 -1.8 BV 165 197 236   164 194 232   -0.5 -1.6 -1.6 ABV 160 192 231   159 188 227   -0.3 -2.0 -1.7 Source: Company, MOFSL 28 January 2026 8 SBI Cards Exhibit 10: DuPont analysis – estimate return ratios to be broadly range-bound Y/E March FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E Interest Income 15.1 14.9 14.7 14.2 13.8 14.0 Interest Expense 4.1 5.0 5.1 4.4 4.2 4.2 Net Interest Income 11.0 9.9 9.5 9.8 9.6 9.8 Fee Income 16.5 15.7 12.9 13.3 13.6 13.8 Trading and others 4.1 3.0 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 Non Interest income 20.5 18.8 15.5 15.6 15.9 16.1 Total Income 31.5 28.7 25.0 25.4 25.5 25.9 Operating Expenses 18.6 16.1 12.9 14.1 14.3 14.4 -Employee cost 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 -Others 17.2 15.0 12.0 13.1 13.3 13.5 Operating Profits 12.9 12.6 12.0 11.4 11.3 11.5 Provisions 5.4 6.3 7.9 7.2 6.1 5.8 PBT 7.6 6.2 4.2 4.1 5.2 5.7 Tax 1.9 1.6 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.5 RoA 5.6 4.6 3.1 3.1 3.8 4.3 Leverage (x) 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.5 RoE 25.7 22.0 14.8 14.5 17.9 19.3 28 January 2026 9 SBI Cards Financials and valuations Income Statement           (INR b) Y/E March FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E Interest Income 60.5 77.4 90.7 98.9 109.4 128.4 Interest Expense 16.5 26.0 31.8 30.6 33.1 38.2 Net Interest Income 44.0 51.5 58.9 68.3 76.3 90.2 -growth (%) 16.0 17.0 14.4 16.0 11.7 18.2 Non Interest Income 82.4 97.4 95.7 108.7 125.7 147.5 Total Income 126.4 148.9 154.6 177.0 202.0 237.7 -growth (%) 23.0 17.8 3.8 14.5 14.1 17.6 Operating Expenses 74.5 83.7 80.1 97.9 112.9 132.5 Pre Provision Profits 51.9 65.2 74.5 79.1 89.1 105.2 -growth (%) 17.2 25.6 14.3 6.1 12.7 18.1 Provisions (excl tax) 21.6 32.9 48.7 50.4 48.3 52.9 PBT 30.3 32.3 25.8 28.7 40.8 52.3 Tax 7.7 8.2 6.6 7.4 10.4 13.3 - Tax Rate (%) 25.5 25.5 25.7 25.7 25.5 25.5 PAT 22.6 24.1 19.2 21.3 30.4 39.0 -growth (%) 39.7 6.6 -20.4 11.2 42.7 28.1 Total Comprehensive Income 22.6 24.1 19.2 21.3 30.4 39.0 -growth (%) 38.7 6.7 -20.3 11.1 42.7 28.1   Balance Sheet             Y/E March FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E Share Capital 9.46 9.51 9.51 9.51 9.51 9.51 Reserves & Surplus 88.84 111.33 128.30 146.95 174.71 210.92 Net Worth 98.3 120.8 137.8 156.5 184.2 220.4 Borrowings 311.1 398.9 449.5 484.1 547.0 629.1 -growth (%) 35.4 28.2 12.7 7.7 13.0 15.0 Other Liabilities & Prov. 46.1 62.0 68.2 95.4 114.5 138.6 Total Liabilities 455.5 581.7 655.5 736.0 845.8 988.1 Current Assets 13.5 27.3 27.4 33.1 40.4 49.3 Investments 21.4 35.2 62.4 79.2 91.1 104.7 -growth (%) 64.9 64.5 77.2 27.0 15.0 15.0 Loans 393.6 490.8 539.3 579.8 663.9 775.4 -growth (%) 30.4 24.7 9.9 7.5 14.5 16.8 Fixed Assets 5.7 5.6 3.3 5.1 5.7 6.3 Other Assets 21.2 22.8 23.1 38.7 44.7 52.3 Total Assets 455.5 581.7 655.5 736.0 845.8 988.1               Asset Quality             Y/E March FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E GNPA (INR b) 9.6 14.0 17.2 16.2 19.9 19.6 NNPA (INR b) 3.5 4.9 8.0 7.0 7.8 6.7 GNPA Ratio 2.4 2.8 3.1 2.7 2.9 2.5 NNPA Ratio 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.2 1.2 0.9 Slippage Ratio 6.0 7.3 9.5 6.5 6.1 6.1 Credit Cost 6.0 7.2 9.1 8.7 7.5 7.1 PCR (Excl Tech. write off) 63.6 64.9 53.5 57.0 60.7 65.7 E: MOFSL Estimates 28 January 2026 10 SBI Cards Financials and valuations Business Metrics             Y/E March FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E Total No of Cards (Nos in Mn) 16.8 18.9 20.8 23.9 28.0 32.6 Total spends (INR b) 2,625.0 3,295.9 3,334.8 3,901.7 4,643.0 5,478.8 Spends per card (INR k) 156.2 174.4 160.3 163.1 165.9 168.0 Loans per card (INR) 23 26 26 24 24 24 Fee income earned per card 3,931 4,320 3,848 3,880 3,838 3,876               Ratios             Y/E March FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E Yield & Cost Ratios (%)             Avg. Yield on loans 16.8 16.9 17.0 17.1 17.0 17.2 Avg. Cost of Borrowings 6.1 7.3 7.5 6.6 6.4 6.5 Interest Spread 10.7 9.6 9.5 10.5 10.6 10.7 Net Interest Margin 12.2 11.2 11.0 11.8 11.9 12.1               Capitalisation Ratios (%)             CAR 23.1 20.5 22.9 25.2 25.0 24.7 Tier I 20.4 16.5 17.5 18.4 18.9 19.2 CET 1 20.4 16.5 17.5 17.0 17.5 17.5 Tier II 2.7 4.0 5.4 6.9 6.2 5.5                             Business ratios (%)             Cost/Assets 18.6 16.1 12.9 14.1 14.3 14.4 Cost/Total Income 58.9 56.2 51.8 55.3 55.9 55.7 Int. Expense/Int.Income 27.2 33.5 35.0 30.9 30.3 29.8 Other income/Total Income 65.2 65.4 61.9 61.4 62.2 62.1 Empl. Cost/Total Expense 7.5 6.8 7.4 6.9 6.9 6.7               Valuation             RoE 25.7 22.0 14.8 14.5 17.9 19.3 RoA 5.6 4.6 3.1 3.1 3.8 4.3 RoRWA 6.2 4.6 2.9 2.9 3.7 4.0 Book Value (INR) 104 127 145 164 194 232 -growth (%) 26.4 22.3 14.0 13.5 17.7 19.7 Price-BV (x) 7.6 6.2 5.4 4.8 4.1 3.4 Adjusted BV (INR) 101 123 139 159 188 227 Price-ABV (x) 7.7 6.4 5.6 4.9 4.2 3.5 EPS (INR) 23.9 25.4 20.1 22.4 32.0 41.0 -growth (%) 39.3 6.2 -20.6 11.2 42.7 28.1 Price-Earnings (x) 32.8 30.9 39.0 35.0 24.6 19.2 E: MOFSL Estimates             Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing. 28 January 2026 11 SBI Cards N O T E S 28 January 2026 12 SBI Cards Explanation of Investment Rating Investment Rating Expected return (over 12-month) BUY >=15% SELL < - 10% NEUTRAL < - 10 % to 15% UNDER REVIEW Rating may undergo a change NOT RATED We have forward looking estimates for the stock but we refrain from assigning recommendation *In case the recommendation given by the Research Analyst is inconsistent with the investment rating legend for a continuous period of 30 days, the Research Analyst shall be within following 30 days take appropriate measures to make the recommendation consistent with the investment rating legend. Disclosures The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations). Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (MOFSL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000412. 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Registered Office Address: Motilal Oswal Tower, Rahimtullah Sayani Road, Opposite Parel ST Depot, Prabhadevi, Mumbai-400025; Tel No.: 022 - 71934200 / 71934263; www.motilaloswal.com. Correspondence Address: Palm Spring Centre, 2nd Floor, Palm Court Complex, New Link Road, Malad (West), Mumbai- 400 064. Tel No: 022 71881000. Details of Compliance Officer: Neeraj Agarwal, Email Id: [email protected], Contact No.:022-40548085. Grievance Redressal Cell: Contact Person Contact No. Email ID Ms. Hemangi Date 022 40548000 / 022 67490600 [email protected] Ms. Kumud Upadhyay 022 40548082 [email protected] Mr. Ajay Menon 022 40548083 [email protected] Registration details of group entities.: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (MOFSL): INZ000158836 (BSE/NSE/MCX/NCDEX); CDSL and NSDL: IN-DP-16-2015; Research Analyst: INH000000412 . AMFI: ARN .: 146822. IRDA Corporate Agent – CA0579. Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. is a distributor of Mutual Funds, PMS, Fixed Deposit, Insurance, Bond, NCDs and IPO products. Customer having any query/feedback/ clarification may write to [email protected]. In case of grievances for any of the services rendered by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) write to [email protected], for DP to [email protected]. 28 January 2026 14