Uploaded on Jul 16, 2026
Bond yields used to be the place in the market people looked between stock headlines. That habit is costly now. Investors are most underweight bonds since June 2022, but developed-market government bond funds still drew fresh money, Reuters reports. The problem is returns have been poor – 10-year Treasuries and German Bonds have produced negative returns since late February while equities have continued to rally in parts of the market. Reuters also noted that US ten-year Treasury yields above 4.5% are now viewed as a critical level, above which higher yields begin to have a more direct negative impact on equities. This is important for NRIs and HNIs because the fixed-income sleeve is no longer automatically “safe”. Duration risk, inflation risk, currency risk, liquidity risk can pile up on each other very quickly. A serious bond yield risk strategy 2026 must assume government bonds, sovereign debt funds and even supposedly defensive fixed-income portfolios can reprice in ugly ways if inflation or geopolitics worsen. Reuters’ India coverage shows the other side of the same trade: foreign investors have started to buy short Indian government bonds as the front-end offers better risk-adjusted carry while the long-end remains more exposed to repricing.
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